hyunjoopark
← Back to Notes

RE / Concepts

GWP. Global warming potential

Created · Updated

Global Warming Potential(GWP) is a relative measure of the heat a greenhouse gas traps inside the atmosphere, in reference to CO2CO_2. ΦRF,XΦRF,CO2=GWPX,y[yr]GWPCO2MXMCO2=GWPX,y[yr]MXMCO2\frac{\Phi_{RF,X}}{\Phi_{RF,CO_2}}=\frac{GWP_{X,y[yr]}}{GWP_{CO_2}}\frac{M_X}{M_{CO_2}}=GWP_{X,y[yr]}\frac{M_X}{M_{CO_2}} where MXM_X and MCO2M_{CO_2} are the total mass of gas XX and CO2CO_2 in the atmosphere (not the mass of one molecule), respectively, and GWPX,y[yr]GWP_{X,y[yr]} is the global warming potential of gas X over a time period of y years. And GWPCO2=1GWP_{CO_2} = 1 by definition (CO₂ is the reference, so the middle term simplifies).

Three levels of comparison (CH4CH_4, 100 yr):

  1. Per kg: GWP = 34
  2. Per ppm: Same number of molecules, but a lighter molecule has less mass- less impact per molecule → 34⋅1644=12.434\cdot\frac{16}{44} = 12.4
  3. Impact in real atmosphere: × ppm ratio → 12.4⋅1.8400=0.05512.4\cdot\frac{1.8}{400} = 0.055

Why GWP depends on the time period: gases break down in the atmosphere at different rates. Methane has a half-life of ~12.4 yr, CO2CO_2 ~350 yr. Over 20 years most of the methane is still present, so GWPCH4,20yr=86GWP_{CH_4,20yr} = 86. Over 100 years most of it has already decayed while CO2CO_2 remains, so GWPCH4,100yr=34GWP_{CH_4,100yr} = 34.

Typical traps
  • MX/MCO2=ppmXppmCO2⋅Mm,XMm,CO2M_X/M_{CO_2} = \frac{\text{ppm}_X}{\text{ppm}_{CO_2}}\cdot\frac{M_{m,X}}{M_{m,CO_2}}. Don’t forget the ppm ratio (HW 4E).
  • CO2CO_2 is given in ppm, the answer is often asked in ppb (1 ppm = 1000 ppb).
  • Check which time period the given GWP refers to (20, 25 or 100 yr). It changes between exams.

Related: Radiative forcing, Mole and Avogadro constant (ppm → mass ratio)